Plan around the weather

Choose a better time to go.

See where tropical cyclones have historically travelled—and compare the months when weather disruption is most likely to affect your trip.

What are these examples?9 named storms selected to show different real routes through the region. They are not the 9 worst storms, and they do not generate the monthly scores below.

9 real storms, 9 different routes

Every line is plotted from six-hourly latitude and longitude records in NOAA IBTrACS. Click a line to identify the storm and route.

Hudhud · 2014Phailin · 2013Fani · 2019Haiyan · 2013Mangkhut · 2018Hato · 2017Doksuri · 2023Pabuk · 2019Vamei · 2001

Observed tracks: Actual six-hourly positions selected from NOAA IBTrACS v04r01, not forecasts or illustrative paths. Start and endpoint markers are outlined; peak intensity is solid. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

The storms shown on the map

Pabuk gives Thailand a direct example; rare near-equatorial Vamei gives the Singapore–Malaysia area one. Each mini-trail uses exactly the same coordinates as the map.

Route example · India · Bay of Bengal
6–14 October 2014 Very severe cyclonic storm

Hudhud

Crossed the Andaman Islands, intensified across the Bay of Bengal and came ashore directly over Visakhapatnam on 12 October, where it tore the roof off the airport terminal and closed VTZ for days.

33 six-hour positions · peak 115 kt
IBTrACS SID 2014279N11096
NOAA IBTrACS dataset ↗
Route example · India · Odisha
7–14 October 2013 Very severe cyclonic storm

Phailin

Came ashore at Gopalpur on 12 October at the height of the post-monsoon season. Around a million people were moved off the coast beforehand, and the death toll stayed in the dozens where the same coast had lost thousands in 1999.

28 six-hour positions · peak 140 kt
IBTrACS SID 2013281N12098
NOAA IBTrACS dataset ↗
Route example · India · Odisha
25 April – 4 May 2019 Extremely severe cyclonic storm

Fani

Ashore near Puri on 3 May, and rare for it: the Bay of Bengal's severe storms almost all come after the monsoon, not before. It spent nine days over water building strength and closed Bhubaneswar on the way through.

36 six-hour positions · peak 150 kt
IBTrACS SID 2019116N02090
NOAA IBTrACS dataset ↗
Route example · Philippines · Vietnam
2–11 November 2013 Super typhoon

Haiyan

Yolanda

Crossed the central Philippines before continuing through the South China Sea into Vietnam and southern China.

38 six-hour positions · peak 170 kt
IBTrACS SID 2013306N07162
NOAA IBTrACS dataset ↗
Route example · Philippines · south China
6–17 September 2018 Super typhoon

Mangkhut

Ompong

Crossed northern Luzon, passed south of Hong Kong and made landfall on the Guangdong coast.

46 six-hour positions · peak 155 kt
IBTrACS SID 2018250N12170
NOAA IBTrACS dataset ↗
Route example · Luzon Strait · Macao
19–25 August 2017 Typhoon

Hato

Isang

Crossed the Luzon Strait and intensified before landfall near Macao and Zhuhai.

23 six-hour positions · peak 90 kt
IBTrACS SID 2017232N19130
NOAA IBTrACS dataset ↗
Route example · Philippines · Taiwan · China
20–31 July 2023 Super typhoon

Doksuri

Egay

Passed north of Luzon, crossed the Taiwan Strait and tracked inland after landfall in Fujian.

44 six-hour positions · peak 130 kt
IBTrACS SID 2023201N13134
NOAA IBTrACS dataset ↗
Route example · Thailand · Gulf of Thailand
30 December 2018–7 January 2019 Tropical storm

Pabuk

Crossed the Gulf of Thailand and made landfall in Nakhon Si Thammarat before moving into the Andaman Sea.

34 six-hour positions · peak 50 kt
IBTrACS SID 2018365N08115
NOAA IBTrACS dataset ↗
Route example · Singapore · Malaysia
26 December 2001–1 January 2002 Tropical storm

Vamei

Formed about 130 km east of Singapore, passed just north of the city and crossed southern Peninsular Malaysia.

24 six-hour positions · peak 65 kt
IBTrACS SID 2001361N01106
NOAA IBTrACS dataset ↗

Country comparison

Risk changes by month

Higher bars mean greater historical travel-disruption exposure—not a prediction that a storm will occur during your trip.

MNL · CEB

Philippines

Very high
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peak windowJuly–October

Around twenty storms enter Philippine waters a year and eight or nine come ashore. Where matters as much as when: Cagayan Valley, Bicol and Eastern Visayas take most of them, while Palawan and the western Visayas are hit far less. The tracks also shift south as the season runs on, so mid-year is worst in the north and the later months worst for the central islands. From Wind Signal No. 3 the airports under it generally stop.

MAA · CCU · VTZ · BBI

India (east coast)

High
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peak windowOctober–November

Two seasons rather than one: a smaller peak before the monsoon in May, and the real one through October and November. Fewer storms form here than in the Pacific, but the Bay of Bengal is shallow and funnel-shaped, so it is the surge they push ashore that closes the coast. Andhra Pradesh and Odisha take most of the landfalls; the Arabian Sea side at Mumbai and Goa is far quieter.

PVG · SHA · CAN

China coast

High
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peak windowJuly–September

Guangdong and Fujian take most of the landfalls, but Shanghai loses more flights to storms that never arrive — a track running north up the coast is enough to empty Pudong without making landfall at all.

BKK · HKT

Thailand

Moderate
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peak windowSeptember–November

The two coasts have opposite bad seasons: Phuket and the Andaman side are wettest from May to October, the Gulf and Samui from November into December. Storms usually cross Vietnam first and arrive overland already weakened, so what closes a runway here is rain and thunderstorms rather than wind.

Low
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peak windowNovember–January

Barely a degree off the equator, which is too close for a cyclone to spin up at all — Vamei in 2001 is the only one on record anywhere near here, and it is in the archive on the main page. What delays flights is the afternoon convection of the two monsoons, and storms elsewhere in the region arriving as knock-on delays.

TPE · KHH

Taiwan

Very high
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peak windowJuly–October

The central range rises to nearly four thousand metres and pulls storms apart as they cross, which shelters the western plain where Taoyuan sits. It does that by wringing the rain out of them, so the disruption is as often flooding and closed ground transport as wind at the airport itself.

OKA · KIX · HND

Japan

High
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peak windowAugust–September

Okinawa and the Ryukyus are in the path from June and take several close passes a year. Honshu's season is shorter and later — August into September — and a storm that gets that far north has usually weakened or begun turning extratropical, which widens its wind field rather than shrinking it. Tokyo loses flights to storms that never come near it.

ICN · PUS · CJU

South Korea

Moderate
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peak windowAugust–September

A short, sharp season: almost nothing before August, then a few concentrated weeks. Storms reaching this far north are recurving and moving fast, which limits how long they sit over any one place but not how hard they blow. Jeju is on the recurve path and usually the first thing hit; Busan and the south coast far more often than Seoul.

High
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peak windowJuly–September

Only two direct strikes since 1987, but the flight-stopping storm signal is raised almost every year.

DAD · HUI · HAN

Vietnam (central coast)

Very high
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peak windowSeptember–November

Storms land between Hue and Da Nang far more than anywhere else; Ho Chi Minh City in the south is rarely affected.

Very high
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peak windowAugust–November

The only entry here with no real off-season — a typhoon can strike within three days at any time of year.

A different kind of risk

Why Indonesia isn't on this chart

Indonesia sits close enough to the equator that it is rarely reached by a named tropical cyclone at all. Its real aviation risk is volcanic ash: several volcanoes carry active advisories most of the year, and that risk does not run on a season the way a typhoon does.

3 advisories in force right now:
SEMERU · 15,000 ftIBU · 7,000 ftDUKONO · 7,000 ft

Jakarta–Denpasar flights already fly directly through SEMERU's current ash advisory.

Not seasonal: an ash advisory is issued when a volcano is erupting, not on a calendar, so there is no month-by-month chart to draw for it. View live volcanic ash advisories →

Use the pattern,
then check the forecast.

01Compare destinations before choosing dates.
02Add buffer days during higher-risk months.
03Check your actual flight as departure approaches.